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Success with AI is Probabilistic and Not Deterministic

Why the best AI users think like poker players, not chess masters

Vladyslav Podoliako's avatar
Vladyslav Podoliako
Dec 11, 2025
∙ Paid

I watched my friend founder blow $50,000 on AI tools last month.

Not on API costs. Not on the computer. On the wrong mental model.

He treated AI like a vending machine. Insert prompt, receive output. If the output was bad, the machine was broken.

He never pressed the button twice.

Midjourney prompt: Success with AI is Probabilistic and Not Deterministic

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